FEATURED MARKET DATA
Strong Bond Returns
Third quarter bond returns were the strongest since the 4th quarter of 2023. Bond yields declined during the quarter as Fedspeak leaned dovish with the Fed refocusing attention on risks to the labor market. In September, the Fed completed its pivot with a more aggressive than expected 50 basis point rate cut.
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Fed’s Attention Shifts to Employment
Lower than expected growth in July payrolls (114K) and an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.3% raised market concerns in early August that the Fed might be behind on cutting interest rates. During August, Fed speak increasingly focused on employment and provided indications the Fed plans to cut rates in its September meeting.
Luis Estrada Joins the OLAP and PMA Team
PMA, a premier full-service provider of financial and advisory services to local governments, is pleased to announce that Luis Estrada has joined the Oklahoma Liquid Asset Pool (OLAP) team as Coordinator, Sales and Relationship Management.
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Strong Start to Second Quarter Earnings Season
With over half of S&P 500 companies reporting second quarter earnings by the end of July, the blended year-over-year earnings growth rate was 10.2%. This is ahead of the 8.9% expected growth rate at the end of June. More than 78% of companies reporting earnings have beat estimates and these companies have, on average, beat earnings forecasts by approximately 4%.
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Soft Landing Narrative Returns
While the first quarter brought stronger than expected inflation and growth, economic data cooled in the second quarter. Core month-over-month CPI rose a faster than expected 0.4% in each of the first three months of the year but slowed to 0.3% and 0.2% in April and May, respectively. Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, slowed even more to 0.1% in May.
MNTrust/PMA Achieves Significant Milestone – Reaching $4B in Fund Assets
MNTrust (the “Fund”), along with PMA, a premier full-service provider of financial and advisory services to local governments, achieved a significant milestone by reaching $4 billion in assets in MNTrust and its Fixed Income Investment Program as of June 5, 2024.
PMA Financial Network, LLC Welcomes Nate Waldron as Associate Vice President, Relationship Manager
PMA, a premier full-service provider of financial and advisory services to local governments, is pleased to announce that Nathanial Waldron has joined the Pennsylvania School District Liquid Asset Fund (PSDLAF) team as Associate Vice President, Relationship Manager.
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Corporate Earnings Support Markets
With the first quarter corporate earnings season complete, S&P 500 companies reported a blended growth rate of 5.9%. The level was well ahead of market expectations and the strongest since the first quarter of 2022. The breadth of earnings beats was also strong, with the percentage of companies exceeding earnings growth expectations above average.
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A Mixed Bag of Data
Inflation, employment and GDP growth data received in April all contributed to declines in stock and bond prices. During April, Fedspeak focused on patience with respect to a potential rate cut. In his press conference following the May 1, 2024, FOMC meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell noted a “lack of further progress” regarding inflation data, while reiterating that policy remains sufficiently restrictive.
PMA Financial Network, LLC Welcomes Brady Brucato, as Coordinator, Sales and Relationship Management
PMA, a premier full-service provider of financial and advisory services to local governments, is pleased to announce that Brady Brucato, has joined the New York Liquid Asset Fund (NYLAF) team as Coordinator, Sales and Relationship Management.