As we enter the second half of 2023, the economy has remained surprisingly resilient despite the massive tightening in monetary policy and higher borrowing costs.
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Bonds Break Out
In November 2023, the Bloomberg Aggregate Index posted its strongest monthly total return since 1985. The 2-year Treasury yield ended the month at 4.70%, hitting its lowest level since mid-July. The 10-year Treasury yield ended the month at 4.34% after rising above 5.00% in October. A lower than-expected inflation print of 3.2% sparked a rally across Wall Street, with traders largely removing potential Federal Reserve rate hikes from their forecasts.